Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Crosby 57.8% (+4.3%)
Offensive zone
Crosby 84.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 78.8%
Neutral zone
Crosby 51.5%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Carter
Crosby
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
57.8% (1,437)
+7.8%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
60.9% (381)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
50.0% (54)
+0.5%
On even strength, Carter has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. Crosby is 59.5% vs right-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Carter
Crosby
Home
64.3% (207)
59.2% (985)
Away
60.8% (217)
57.2% (887)
By Period
Carter
Crosby
P1
65.3%
57.3%
P2
60.1%
59.5%
P3
63.8%
58.5%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
65.3%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%