Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Crosby 52.3% (+4.6%)
Offensive zone
Crosby 74.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 77.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 52.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Carter
Crosby
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
50.8% (1,169)
+7.1%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
60.2% (261)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
45.0% (20)
+0.4%
On even strength, Carter has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Crosby is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (521).
Home / Away
Carter
Crosby
Home
58.2% (543)
53.2% (726)
Away
55.9% (594)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Carter
Crosby
P1
57.5%
51.3%
P2
57.1%
52.1%
P3
55.8%
54.1%
OT
68.2%
45.8%
Final 5 min
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%