Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 54.0% vs Crosby 55.1% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 61.6%
Defensive zone
Crosby 52.8%
Neutral zone
Crosby 63.5%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Carter
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Carter
Crosby
Last 6: Carter 4-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
1
Carter
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Carter
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (445)
55.1% (648)
+1.1%
Power Play
54.4% (114)
58.6% (256)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
47.6% (63)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Carter is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Carter shoots right. Crosby is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Carter
Crosby
Home
55.0% (291)
57.1% (552)
Away
54.5% (314)
53.8% (429)
By Period
Carter
Crosby
P1
57.2%
60.3%
P2
46.6%
55.8%
P3
58.0%
50.8%
OT
77.8%
54.5%
Final 5 min
57.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2010 | 1 | 06:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 16:06 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 7, 2010 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 7, 2010 | 1 | 06:15 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |