Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Stamkos 55.2% (+6.5%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 76.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 78.0%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 53.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Carter
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
55.9% (499)
+9.7%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
56.3% (126)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
58.3% (12)
-7.8%
On power play, Carter has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Carter is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Carter shoots right. Stamkos is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Carter
Stamkos
Home
64.3% (207)
55.3% (349)
Away
60.8% (217)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Carter
Stamkos
P1
65.3%
57.0%
P2
60.1%
59.2%
P3
63.8%
51.5%
OT
40.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
65.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%