Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Hertl 56.8% (+5.0%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 72.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 66.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 50.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Carter
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
57.0% (718)
+8.6%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
64.9% (188)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
44.2% (77)
+6.3%
On even strength, Carter has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Carter
Hertl
Home
64.3% (207)
59.2% (463)
Away
60.8% (217)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Carter
Hertl
P1
65.3%
56.3%
P2
60.1%
55.4%
P3
63.8%
60.5%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
65.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%