Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.9% vs Trocheck 48.2% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 60.9%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 77.0%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 51.9%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Carter
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Carter
Trocheck
Last 5: Carter 2-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Carter
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (471)
47.2% (252)
+4.8%
Power Play
55.3% (132)
67.9% (28)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (41)
41.2% (68)
+2.7%
On power play, Trocheck has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Carter is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Carter shoots right. Trocheck is 39.8% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Carter
Trocheck
Home
53.6% (330)
51.1% (233)
Away
50.6% (314)
40.9% (115)
By Period
Carter
Trocheck
P1
50.0%
47.8%
P2
55.6%
51.9%
P3
50.3%
43.4%
OT
59.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.2%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 2 | 13:04 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 2 | 00:31 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 18:48 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 08:41 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |