Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Carter wins 60.7% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Trocheck 55.6% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 75.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 84.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 56.2%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Carter
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Carter
Trocheck
Last 10: Carter 7-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
3
6
Carter
Trocheck
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
3
1
Carter
Trocheck
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
55.0% (956)
+4.7%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
59.8% (266)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
56.3% (64)
-3.1%
On power play, Carter has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Carter is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Carter shoots right. Trocheck is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Carter
Trocheck
Home
58.7% (455)
57.7% (673)
Away
60.0% (483)
54.3% (613)
By Period
Carter
Trocheck
P1
61.3%
55.4%
P2
57.1%
55.6%
P3
59.8%
56.4%
OT
57.1%
83.3%
Final 5 min
60.2%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 12:14 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:31 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 17:03 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 10:03 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |