Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Trocheck 54.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 54.3%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 50.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 54.3%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Carter
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Carter
Trocheck
Last 5: Carter 2-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Carter
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Carter
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
54.3% (955)
+3.6%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
64.6% (96)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
51.0% (194)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Carter is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Carter shoots right. Trocheck is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Carter
Trocheck
Home
58.2% (543)
58.3% (604)
Away
55.9% (594)
51.2% (641)
By Period
Carter
Trocheck
P1
57.5%
53.9%
P2
57.1%
55.7%
P3
55.8%
54.3%
OT
68.2%
54.5%
Final 5 min
57.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 01:44 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 01:24 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |