Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Trocheck 58.2% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 69.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 87.6%
Neutral zone
Carter 58.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Carter
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Carter
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
57.6% (1,061)
+8.0%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
65.1% (338)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
49.5% (101)
+1.0%
On even strength, Carter has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Carter is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Carter shoots right. Trocheck is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (382).
Home / Away
Carter
Trocheck
Home
64.3% (207)
61.8% (735)
Away
60.8% (217)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Carter
Trocheck
P1
65.3%
57.7%
P2
60.1%
57.9%
P3
63.8%
60.4%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
65.3%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 08:28 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 09:15 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |