Jeff Carter vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 18 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Karlsson 51.3% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 36-26 in 62 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 59.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 60.9%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 60.4%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Carter
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
36
(62 meetings)
26
36
Carter
Karlsson
Last 10: Carter 4-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
5
13
Carter
Karlsson
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
10
15
Carter
Karlsson
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
11
8
Carter
Karlsson
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
51.8% (7,849)
+1.5%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
54.8% (1,048)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
44.2% (1,109)
+2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Carter
Karlsson
Home
54.7% (5,752)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Carter
Karlsson
P1
53.6%
50.3%
P2
52.8%
51.3%
P3
53.1%
52.4%
OT
56.5%
44.9%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 05:23 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 12:30 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 14:19 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 00:56 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 17:32 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 05:12 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | William Karlsson |