Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Karlsson 55.6% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 71.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 81.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 63.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Carter
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Carter
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
56.3% (739)
+9.3%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
58.6% (181)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
47.2% (53)
+3.3%
On power play, Carter has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. Karlsson is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Carter
Karlsson
Home
64.3% (207)
56.5% (462)
Away
60.8% (217)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Carter
Karlsson
P1
65.3%
57.1%
P2
60.1%
55.2%
P3
63.8%
56.7%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
65.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 05:23 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |