Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Karlsson 54.9% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 79.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 58.5%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 57.8%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Carter
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Carter
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Carter
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Carter
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
55.3% (897)
+4.4%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
61.1% (113)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
50.8% (132)
+2.4%
On power play, Carter has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Carter shoots right. Karlsson is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Carter
Karlsson
Home
58.7% (455)
58.6% (560)
Away
60.0% (483)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Carter
Karlsson
P1
61.3%
55.8%
P2
57.1%
55.6%
P3
59.8%
55.7%
OT
57.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.2%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | William Karlsson |