Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 48.8% vs Karlsson 46.1% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 62.8%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 79.3%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 59.5%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Carter
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Carter
Karlsson
Last 9: Carter 3-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Carter
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
4
Carter
Karlsson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (977)
46.5% (744)
+2.0%
Power Play
57.8% (128)
16.7% (18)
+41.1%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (123)
45.0% (149)
-4.3%
On power play, Carter has a +41.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Carter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (836).
Carter shoots right. Karlsson is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Home / Away
Carter
Karlsson
Home
50.8% (597)
44.0% (425)
Away
46.8% (631)
47.1% (486)
By Period
Carter
Karlsson
P1
48.8%
49.7%
P2
48.0%
41.4%
P3
49.4%
46.7%
OT
45.5%
22.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 03:39 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 3 | 02:24 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 1 | 13:44 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 1 | 06:33 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 1 | 06:22 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |