Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.2% vs Karlsson 47.8% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 58.6%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 59.4%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 59.4%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Carter
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Carter
Karlsson
Last 8: Carter 3-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Carter
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
3
Carter
Karlsson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (935)
47.4% (1,012)
+2.5%
Power Play
61.8% (157)
45.6% (136)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (92)
53.5% (86)
-6.8%
On power play, Carter has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Carter is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Carter shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Carter
Karlsson
Home
52.4% (638)
47.7% (658)
Away
50.0% (546)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Carter
Karlsson
P1
49.6%
46.6%
P2
50.9%
47.2%
P3
53.0%
49.1%
OT
58.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2019 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 1, 2019 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 1, 2019 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 1, 2019 | 1 | 08:17 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 3 | 16:54 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 00:24 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |