Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Girgensons 46.9% (+14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 50.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 74.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 54.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Carter
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Carter
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Girgensons
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
45.3% (128)
+14.4%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
50.0% (4)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
45.3% (75)
+7.9%
On power play, Carter has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Carter shoots right. Girgensons is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Carter
Girgensons
Home
58.7% (455)
41.0% (100)
Away
60.0% (483)
49.5% (107)
By Period
Carter
Girgensons
P1
61.3%
41.9%
P2
57.1%
53.9%
P3
59.8%
40.0%
OT
57.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
60.2%
32.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Girgensons
30.0%▼
43.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |