Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Girgensons 48.5% (+14.8%)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 55.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 64.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 53.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Carter
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
46.3% (147)
+19.3%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
66.7% (3)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
51.1% (47)
-0.6%
On even strength, Carter has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. Girgensons is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Carter
Girgensons
Home
64.3% (207)
34.2% (79)
Away
60.8% (217)
56.8% (118)
By Period
Carter
Girgensons
P1
65.3%
56.5%
P2
60.1%
38.1%
P3
63.8%
47.7%
Final 5 min
65.3%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Girgensons
30.0%▼
43.5%
47.7%