Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 44.7% vs Tavares 54.4% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Skinner 91.4%
Defensive zone
Tavares 73.9%
Neutral zone
Skinner 69.4%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Skinner
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Skinner
Tavares
Last 10: Skinner 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
6
2
Skinner
Tavares
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
10
Skinner
Tavares
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Skinner
2
0
Skinner
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,317)
54.0% (16,108)
-11.7%
Power Play
52.0% (404)
56.5% (4,283)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
50.6% (620)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Skinner is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,097).
Skinner shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
Skinner
Tavares
Home
48.2% (949)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
39.9% (791)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Skinner
Tavares
P1
41.6%
55.0%
P2
46.0%
54.1%
P3
46.4%
54.1%
OT
23.5%
55.9%
Final 5 min
46.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 06:46 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 14:46 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 3 | 17:01 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 1 | 03:42 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 2 | 11:18 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 2 | 00:15 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 1 | 12:44 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 10:37 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 11:01 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | John Tavares |