Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 45.5% vs Tavares 58.7% (-17.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 59.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 77.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 54.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Skinner
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Skinner
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
1
0
Skinner
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Skinner
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (105)
59.2% (1,035)
-18.2%
Power Play
50.0% (18)
60.0% (310)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
42.9% (7)
-42.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Skinner is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Skinner shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Skinner
Tavares
Home
43.8% (64)
57.5% (668)
Away
40.0% (60)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Skinner
Tavares
P1
38.6%
58.0%
P2
40.5%
60.1%
P3
47.4%
61.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
41.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 06:46 | Defensive | John Tavares |