Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +20.0% FO% edge overall. Skinner wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 43.5% vs Tavares 59.8% (-20.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 59.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 89.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 51.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Skinner
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Skinner
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Skinner
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Skinner
1
0
Skinner
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (152)
60.9% (1,043)
-23.4%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
60.4% (278)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
47.6% (21)
-47.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +47.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Skinner is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Skinner shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Skinner
Tavares
Home
41.5% (130)
63.5% (684)
Away
39.4% (94)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Skinner
Tavares
P1
32.9%
60.3%
P2
47.1%
60.4%
P3
40.6%
60.1%
Final 5 min
47.5%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
40.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2022 | 3 | 17:01 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |