Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Skinner wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 50.3% vs Tavares 57.7% (-7.1%)
Offensive zone
Skinner 55.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 68.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 54.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Skinner
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (33)
57.7% (998)
-6.2%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
60.5% (271)
-10.5%
On power play, Tavares has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Skinner is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Skinner shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Skinner
Tavares
Home
57.1% (21)
59.7% (610)
Away
45.5% (22)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Skinner
Tavares
P1
50.0%
57.2%
P2
57.1%
58.5%
P3
45.5%
59.4%
Final 5 min
62.5%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%