Scouting Report
Jeff Skinner holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Skinner on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Skinner wins 36.7% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 44.7% vs Reinhart 43.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Reinhart leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Skinner 91.7%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 86.0%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 51.1%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Skinner
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Skinner
Reinhart
Last 10: Skinner 5-5 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
5
1
Skinner
Reinhart
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
4
Skinner
Reinhart
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,317)
42.5% (2,173)
-0.2%
Power Play
52.0% (404)
46.5% (525)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
41.3% (339)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Skinner is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Skinner shoots left. Reinhart is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,283).
Home / Away
Skinner
Reinhart
Home
48.2% (949)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
39.9% (791)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
Skinner
Reinhart
P1
41.6%
44.5%
P2
46.0%
40.5%
P3
46.4%
44.5%
OT
23.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |