Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Skinner wins 31.8% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 43.5% vs Reinhart 48.8% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 50.0%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 89.4%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 59.5%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Skinner
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Skinner
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
2
0
Skinner
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (152)
48.0% (275)
-10.5%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
48.1% (52)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
53.1% (32)
-53.1%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +53.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Skinner is 31.8% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Skinner shoots left. Reinhart is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Skinner
Reinhart
Home
41.5% (130)
49.8% (201)
Away
39.4% (94)
46.8% (158)
By Period
Skinner
Reinhart
P1
32.9%
54.8%
P2
47.1%
40.5%
P3
40.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
40.6%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |