Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Skinner wins 25.7% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 48.0% vs Reinhart 50.5% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 82.3%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 79.7%
Neutral zone
Skinner 53.8%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Skinner
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Skinner
Reinhart
Last 6: Skinner 2-4 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
2
1
Skinner
Reinhart
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
3
Skinner
Reinhart
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (222)
49.4% (259)
-2.6%
Power Play
48.7% (78)
54.4% (136)
-5.7%
On power play, Reinhart has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Skinner is 25.7% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Skinner shoots left. Reinhart is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Skinner
Reinhart
Home
53.8% (169)
54.9% (235)
Away
38.9% (131)
46.3% (231)
By Period
Skinner
Reinhart
P1
48.1%
52.3%
P2
47.1%
50.0%
P3
46.9%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.8%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.3%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |