Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Skinner wins 27.9% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 45.5% vs Reinhart 45.1% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 76.8%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 83.1%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 51.5%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Skinner
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Skinner
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
1
0
Skinner
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Skinner
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (105)
44.6% (345)
-3.6%
Power Play
50.0% (18)
43.3% (97)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
43.2% (88)
-43.2%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Skinner is 27.9% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Skinner shoots left. Reinhart is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Skinner
Reinhart
Home
43.8% (64)
47.9% (267)
Away
40.0% (60)
40.3% (263)
By Period
Skinner
Reinhart
P1
38.6%
45.6%
P2
40.5%
42.0%
P3
47.4%
45.4%
Final 5 min
33.3%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
41.9%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |