Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Skinner on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 44.7% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Skinner leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Skinner 79.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 96.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 80.3%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Skinner
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Skinner
Kuraly
Last 10: Skinner 7-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
5
1
Skinner
Kuraly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
4
Skinner
Kuraly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Skinner
2
1
Skinner
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,317)
51.5% (5,141)
-9.2%
Power Play
52.0% (404)
56.0% (100)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
44.2% (1,086)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Skinner is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,097).
Skinner shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Home / Away
Skinner
Kuraly
Home
48.2% (949)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
39.9% (791)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Skinner
Kuraly
P1
41.6%
51.1%
P2
46.0%
49.9%
P3
46.4%
50.0%
OT
23.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 07:04 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:00 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 18:26 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 11:25 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |