Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Skinner wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 43.5% vs Kuraly 49.5% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 82.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 97.2%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 59.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Skinner
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Skinner
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
1
0
Skinner
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Skinner
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Skinner
1
0
Skinner
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (152)
52.3% (982)
-14.8%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
41.9% (43)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
39.2% (245)
-39.2%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +39.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Skinner is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Skinner shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Skinner
Kuraly
Home
41.5% (130)
50.3% (680)
Away
39.4% (94)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Skinner
Kuraly
P1
32.9%
49.5%
P2
47.1%
49.6%
P3
40.6%
49.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
40.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |