Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Skinner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Skinner wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 48.0% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 74.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 97.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 75.9%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Skinner
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Skinner
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
3
0
Skinner
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
1
0
Skinner
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (222)
49.2% (901)
-2.4%
Power Play
48.7% (78)
68.2% (22)
-19.5%
On power play, Kuraly has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Skinner is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Skinner shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Skinner
Kuraly
Home
53.8% (169)
51.7% (603)
Away
38.9% (131)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Skinner
Kuraly
P1
48.1%
50.9%
P2
47.1%
49.5%
P3
46.9%
49.1%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:00 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Jeff Skinner |