Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Skinner wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 50.3% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 72.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 77.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 56.5%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Skinner
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Skinner
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Skinner
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Skinner
1
0
Skinner
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (33)
55.3% (515)
-3.8%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
55.6% (9)
-5.6%
On power play, Kuraly has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Skinner is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Skinner shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Skinner
Kuraly
Home
57.1% (21)
57.3% (293)
Away
45.5% (22)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Skinner
Kuraly
P1
50.0%
53.8%
P2
57.1%
51.5%
P3
45.5%
57.6%
Final 5 min
62.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 07:04 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |