Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Skinner wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 48.8% vs Kuraly 55.9% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 94.1%
Defensive zone
Skinner 52.8%
Neutral zone
Skinner 74.9%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Skinner
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Skinner
Kuraly
Last 5: Skinner 1-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Skinner
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Skinner
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (49)
58.4% (310)
-11.5%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
66.7% (6)
-21.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Skinner is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Skinner shoots left. Kuraly is 62.2% vs left-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Skinner
Kuraly
Home
60.7% (28)
57.1% (184)
Away
34.4% (32)
57.7% (215)
By Period
Skinner
Kuraly
P1
47.8%
56.0%
P2
50.0%
56.6%
P3
40.0%
58.0%
Final 5 min
35.0%
62.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
46.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 18:26 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 11:25 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |