Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Skinner wins 36.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 44.7% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Skinner 94.7%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 75.5%
Neutral zone
Skinner 65.5%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Skinner
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Skinner
Stamkos
Last 10: Skinner 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
5
0
Skinner
Stamkos
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
9
Skinner
Stamkos
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Skinner
1
0
Skinner
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,317)
50.4% (9,799)
-8.1%
Power Play
52.0% (404)
55.1% (1,725)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
49.7% (825)
-16.4%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Skinner is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Skinner shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Skinner
Stamkos
Home
48.2% (949)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
39.9% (791)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Skinner
Stamkos
P1
41.6%
49.1%
P2
46.0%
52.7%
P3
46.4%
50.9%
OT
23.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 13:38 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 00:09 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |