Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Skinner wins 27.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 45.5% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-14.1%)
Offensive zone
Skinner 71.7%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 70.0%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 54.8%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Skinner
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (105)
55.9% (499)
-14.9%
Power Play
50.0% (18)
56.3% (126)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
58.3% (12)
-58.3%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Skinner is 27.9% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Skinner shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Skinner
Stamkos
Home
43.8% (64)
55.3% (349)
Away
40.0% (60)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Skinner
Stamkos
P1
38.6%
57.0%
P2
40.5%
59.2%
P3
47.4%
51.5%
Final 5 min
33.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
41.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%