Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Skinner wins 25.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 48.0% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 88.3%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 77.0%
Neutral zone
Skinner 68.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 77.0%
23.0%
77.0%
Skinner
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Skinner
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Skinner
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (222)
55.3% (628)
-8.5%
Power Play
48.7% (78)
55.1% (216)
-6.4%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Skinner is 25.7% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Skinner shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Skinner
Stamkos
Home
53.8% (169)
55.5% (499)
Away
38.9% (131)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Skinner
Stamkos
P1
48.1%
50.7%
P2
47.1%
53.8%
P3
46.9%
55.9%
OT
50.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
46.8%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |