Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Skinner wins 31.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 43.5% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 72.5%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 90.3%
Neutral zone
Skinner 55.6%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Skinner
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Skinner
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
1
0
Skinner
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Skinner
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (152)
49.3% (789)
-11.8%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
56.9% (181)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
54.1% (98)
-54.1%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +54.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Skinner is 31.8% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Skinner shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Skinner
Stamkos
Home
41.5% (130)
52.0% (512)
Away
39.4% (94)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Skinner
Stamkos
P1
32.9%
42.1%
P2
47.1%
56.4%
P3
40.6%
53.7%
Final 5 min
47.5%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
40.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |