Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Justin Danforth
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Danforth 48.8% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 73.3%
Defensive zone
Danforth 60.2%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 56.0%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
Last 9: Kotkaniemi 5-4 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
1
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (586)
51.2% (281)
+0.5%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
55.6% (9)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
35.8% (67)
+26.7%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Danforth is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
Home
49.5% (313)
52.0% (196)
Away
53.5% (333)
44.1% (161)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
P1
54.5%
48.2%
P2
51.1%
52.8%
P3
49.0%
42.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:32 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:16 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 02:46 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 17:12 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 07:39 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |