Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Justin Danforth

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Danforth 48.8% (+3.0%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Kotkaniemi 73.3%
Defensive zone Danforth 60.2%
Neutral zone Kotkaniemi 56.0%
Result Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Kotkaniemi Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 4 (9 meetings)
5
4
Kotkaniemi Danforth
Last 9: Kotkaniemi 5-4 Danforth

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
1
Kotkaniemi Danforth
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi Danforth
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kotkaniemi Danforth
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (586)
51.2% (281)
+0.5%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
55.6% (9)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
35.8% (67)
+26.7%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +26.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Danforth is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
Home
49.5% (313)
52.0% (196)
Away
53.5% (333)
44.1% (161)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
P1
54.5%
48.2%
P2
51.1%
52.8%
P3
49.0%
42.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%
49.0%
51.5%
Danforth
54.0%
51.5%
48.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 16, 2024 3 00:00 Neutral Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Apr 16, 2024 2 07:32 Neutral Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Apr 16, 2024 1 18:16 Neutral Justin Danforth
Feb 29, 2024 3 02:46 Offensive Justin Danforth
Feb 29, 2024 2 03:30 Defensive Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Nov 26, 2023 3 05:51 Offensive Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Nov 26, 2023 2 17:12 Neutral Justin Danforth
Nov 26, 2023 1 15:49 Defensive Justin Danforth
Nov 26, 2023 1 07:39 Offensive Jesperi Kotkaniemi