Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Justin Danforth
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 49.8%). Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Danforth 49.8% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Kotkaniemi leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 75.0%
Defensive zone
Danforth 72.7%
Neutral zone
Danforth 53.5%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
13
(27 meetings)
14
13
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 4-6 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
7
2
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
5
4
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
2
7
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (3,852)
51.8% (1,018)
-2.8%
Power Play
51.3% (351)
50.0% (36)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
40.1% (207)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,454).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Danforth is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (937).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
Home
49.7% (2,197)
51.4% (619)
Away
48.7% (2,041)
48.3% (642)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
P1
49.9%
49.1%
P2
50.4%
51.4%
P3
47.2%
48.3%
OT
50.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:11 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:53 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:41 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:56 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:08 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:32 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:16 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 02:46 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 17:12 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 07:39 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:38 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |