Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Justin Danforth
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Danforth on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kotkaniemi wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs Danforth 49.5% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Danforth leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 69.3%
Defensive zone
Danforth 74.3%
Neutral zone
Danforth 55.0%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 4-6 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
0
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
2
3
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
3
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
50.5% (546)
+2.3%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
50.0% (14)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
43.6% (101)
-29.3%
On penalty kill, Danforth has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Danforth is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
Home
52.5% (366)
51.1% (315)
Away
51.0% (343)
48.0% (346)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Danforth
P1
53.8%
49.5%
P2
49.2%
51.4%
P3
52.6%
46.6%
Final 5 min
51.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:11 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:53 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:41 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:56 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:08 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |