Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Kevin Stenlund
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 51.4%). Look for Kotkaniemi on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Stenlund 51.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 77.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 70.3%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 50.8%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
Last 9: Kotkaniemi 6-3 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
1
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
1
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (586)
54.4% (592)
-2.7%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
42.9% (14)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
44.1% (229)
+18.4%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
Home
49.5% (313)
50.7% (402)
Away
53.5% (333)
52.0% (433)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
P1
54.5%
56.5%
P2
51.1%
52.4%
P3
49.0%
45.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 08:27 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 02:46 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 01:37 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 09:47 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 06:27 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |