Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Kevin Stenlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Stenlund 54.0% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Kotkaniemi leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 81.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 86.4%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 62.4%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
11
(23 meetings)
12
11
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 4-6 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
5
2
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
6
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
4
3
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (3,852)
55.3% (2,703)
-6.3%
Power Play
51.3% (351)
52.6% (116)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
50.6% (919)
-4.9%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,454).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,807).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
Home
49.7% (2,197)
54.3% (1,848)
Away
48.7% (2,041)
53.9% (1,890)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
P1
49.9%
56.4%
P2
50.4%
53.3%
P3
47.2%
52.8%
OT
50.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:37 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 11:38 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 05:01 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:17 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 05:13 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 08:27 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 02:46 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 01:37 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |