Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Kevin Stenlund
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kotkaniemi wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs Stenlund 58.3% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 77.3%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 65.1%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 56.0%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 5-5 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
1
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
4
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
2
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
58.6% (797)
-5.8%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
62.5% (24)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
60.5% (233)
-46.2%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
Home
52.5% (366)
58.6% (548)
Away
51.0% (343)
59.7% (506)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
P1
53.8%
60.2%
P2
49.2%
59.1%
P3
52.6%
58.3%
Final 5 min
51.3%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:37 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 11:38 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 05:01 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:17 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 05:13 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |