Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Leo Carlsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs Carlsson 42.4% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 93.4%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 87.9%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 89.0%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 89.1%
89.1%
10.9%
Kotkaniemi
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Kotkaniemi
Carlsson
Last 6: Kotkaniemi 6-0 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Carlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
0
Kotkaniemi
Carlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
0
Kotkaniemi
Carlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
41.8% (648)
+11.0%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
37.3% (51)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
38.7% (31)
-24.4%
On penalty kill, Carlsson has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Carlsson
Home
52.5% (366)
44.5% (362)
Away
51.0% (343)
38.3% (368)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Carlsson
P1
53.8%
46.3%
P2
49.2%
35.1%
P3
52.6%
43.9%
Final 5 min
51.3%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:04 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 11:05 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 15:48 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |