Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Leo Carlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Carlsson 45.0% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 56.0%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 55.6%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 59.7%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Kotkaniemi
Carlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
45.5% (661)
+1.8%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
46.3% (82)
+53.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
33.3% (84)
+0.0%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +53.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Carlsson is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Carlsson
Home
46.5% (129)
42.5% (428)
Away
50.0% (84)
46.4% (399)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Carlsson
P1
51.3%
45.4%
P2
46.1%
39.7%
P3
45.9%
48.5%
Final 5 min
48.2%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
44.4%