Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Leo Carlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Carlsson 41.2% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 94.1%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 78.9%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 85.5%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Kotkaniemi
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Kotkaniemi
Carlsson
Last 6: Kotkaniemi 6-0 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Carlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
0
Kotkaniemi
Carlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
0
Kotkaniemi
Carlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (3,852)
41.0% (1,844)
+8.0%
Power Play
51.3% (351)
42.9% (154)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
35.0% (120)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,479).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Carlsson
Home
49.7% (2,197)
42.2% (1,044)
Away
48.7% (2,041)
39.4% (1,074)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Carlsson
P1
49.9%
43.3%
P2
50.4%
36.5%
P3
47.2%
43.2%
OT
50.0%
40.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:04 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 11:05 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 15:48 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |