Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Mikael Backlund
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 50.9%). Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Backlund 50.8% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 60.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 65.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 2-8 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
4
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
4
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (637)
51.9% (1,083)
-0.1%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
51.7% (120)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
44.3% (183)
-1.4%
On power play, Backlund has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (472).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
Home
53.1% (339)
51.9% (673)
Away
49.9% (361)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
P1
48.3%
51.4%
P2
55.0%
50.5%
P3
50.4%
51.4%
OT
50.0%
35.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 19:02 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 05:17 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |