Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Backlund 49.7% (-1.8%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 84.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 79.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 56.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
50.1% (891)
-2.8%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
53.1% (64)
+46.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
47.8% (278)
-14.5%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +46.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
Home
46.5% (129)
48.1% (580)
Away
50.0% (84)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
P1
51.3%
45.1%
P2
46.1%
54.7%
P3
45.9%
49.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%