Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Mikael Backlund
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Backlund 50.3% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 69.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 78.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 59.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
Last 5: Kotkaniemi 1-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (586)
51.0% (1,205)
+0.7%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
59.3% (108)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
42.3% (234)
+20.2%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
Home
49.5% (313)
51.2% (782)
Away
53.5% (333)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Backlund
P1
54.5%
51.5%
P2
51.1%
49.8%
P3
49.0%
49.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |