Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Pavel Buchnevich
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.7% vs Buchnevich 45.3% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 64.2%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 66.2%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 62.4%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (195)
41.0% (78)
+6.7%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
44.4% (9)
+55.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
20.0% (5)
+13.3%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Buchnevich is 35.6% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
Home
46.8% (126)
40.0% (60)
Away
50.0% (74)
40.6% (32)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
P1
50.0%
38.1%
P2
47.9%
30.8%
P3
45.6%
54.5%
Final 5 min
47.3%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Buchnevich
40.0%▬
41.0%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |