Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Pavel Buchnevich
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs Buchnevich 41.2% (+14.5%)
H2H factor
Kotkaniemi leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 65.5%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 71.4%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 72.6%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 5-5 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
2
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
4
2
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
37.0% (211)
+15.8%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
50.0% (10)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
28.6% (7)
-14.3%
On even strength, Kotkaniemi has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
Home
52.5% (366)
35.6% (87)
Away
51.0% (343)
38.3% (141)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
P1
53.8%
36.3%
P2
49.2%
37.6%
P3
52.6%
38.1%
Final 5 min
51.3%
36.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 12:12 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:55 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 02:01 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 07:56 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 01:21 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |