Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Pavel Buchnevich
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Buchnevich 35.4% (+15.3%)
H2H factor
Kotkaniemi leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 95.6%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 92.4%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 95.2%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 94.6%
94.6%
5.4%
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 5-5 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
1
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
6
2
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (3,852)
33.7% (895)
+15.3%
Power Play
51.3% (351)
44.2% (52)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
24.3% (37)
+21.4%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.8% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
Home
49.7% (2,197)
34.7% (490)
Away
48.7% (2,041)
33.2% (494)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
P1
49.9%
34.4%
P2
50.4%
33.7%
P3
47.2%
33.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
33.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 12:12 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:55 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 02:01 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 07:56 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 01:21 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:21 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:53 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |