Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Pavel Buchnevich
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Buchnevich 42.1% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 72.5%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 71.9%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 63.3%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
37.7% (154)
+9.6%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
42.9% (14)
+57.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
30.0% (10)
+3.3%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Buchnevich is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
Home
46.5% (129)
37.4% (91)
Away
50.0% (84)
37.9% (87)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
P1
51.3%
38.9%
P2
46.1%
31.5%
P3
45.9%
42.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |