Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Ryan O'Reilly
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 52.0%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 56.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 51.6%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Kotkaniemi
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Kotkaniemi
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Kotkaniemi
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
0
Kotkaniemi
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Kotkaniemi
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (586)
55.0% (1,084)
-3.3%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
56.8% (303)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
40.3% (149)
+22.2%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
O'Reilly
Home
49.5% (313)
54.8% (759)
Away
53.5% (333)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
O'Reilly
P1
54.5%
55.3%
P2
51.1%
51.9%
P3
49.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 14:34 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 15:46 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 15:37 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |